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Thanks, very interesting. It was silly of me to assume that the p-value could be used in that way when, as you explain, it's not measuring or indicating that at all.



Don't feel too bad. It's a very common mistake; see some of the citations in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value#Misunderstandings and http://lesswrong.com/lw/g13/against_nhst/




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