Japan was able to endure a lost decade(s) due to immense social solidarity that few countries, perhaps even the US, possess.
China is known as an unusually fragile country in some ways due to its tendency to break up or devolve into Afghanistan-like warlordism.
A collapse of their economy, which seems probable at some point after 40 years of malinvestment, will crush any cohesion the CCP has built. To maintain it, they will of course try more authoritarian measures as they are doing now.
The bigger picture though is that they will shift this internal “civil war” outside the country in the form of a war against someone else. This solves the lack of manufacturing demand issue, deals with population issues (perhaps unloyal ethnic groups can be put on the front-lines), and would draw on a reservoir of nationalistic fever not really touched since WWII.
Steve Bannon has been clear that he believes WWIII will be a global, non-nuclear war between China and US. I used to think this would only be the case if Trump remained president, but now no matter who is elected, it still seems like a considerable chance.
> Japan was able to endure a lost decade(s) due to immense social solidarity that few countries, perhaps even the US, possess.
Your points make no sense. Civil war, countries breaking up etc. almost always happen only when people's basic needs (food, water, clothing, heat, electricity) are not being met. Even during its lost decade, Japan has been a top 25 country by per-capita income.
Japan was able to endure a lost decade(s) due to immense social solidarity that few countries, perhaps even the US, possess.
China is known as an unusually fragile country in some ways due to its tendency to break up or devolve into Afghanistan-like warlordism.
A collapse of their economy, which seems probable at some point after 40 years of malinvestment, will crush any cohesion the CCP has built. To maintain it, they will of course try more authoritarian measures as they are doing now.
The bigger picture though is that they will shift this internal “civil war” outside the country in the form of a war against someone else. This solves the lack of manufacturing demand issue, deals with population issues (perhaps unloyal ethnic groups can be put on the front-lines), and would draw on a reservoir of nationalistic fever not really touched since WWII.
Steve Bannon has been clear that he believes WWIII will be a global, non-nuclear war between China and US. I used to think this would only be the case if Trump remained president, but now no matter who is elected, it still seems like a considerable chance.