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The ones that have a business model your grandad would understand. His heuristic is somewhat naive, but he's made a lot of money by betting against the paradigm shifts and capitalistic innovations.

He's basically applying systems theories to companies, and knows that the more complex a system is, the more possible failure states it has.




I’m looking for a heuristic.

He’ll be staying in his “Circle or Competence”, great company, evaluating companies for their “margin of safety”?

He’s only looking at a handful of numbers to determine a good buy.

We really should try to learn from this market movement. Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger offer decades of knowledge and wisdom.




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