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> First, let's assume you have a system with no error-correction nor parity. The probability that you'll experience a bit error during the time T will be 1-(1-p)^m .

OK, let's assume that.

> For T=1 hour , p = 1.3e-12 and m = 42^308 that gives 0.044 or 4.4% .

WTF? Where did those figures come from?




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